Amanda Nunes vs Raquel Pennington
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-5-0Record16-9-0
BantamweightDivisionWomen's Bantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
69"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Lioness StudioTeamAltitude MMA
What's at stake
Amanda Nunes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Raquel Pennington carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1806
If they lose-21→ 1774
If they win+21→ 1696
If they lose-11→ 1664
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1655 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Amanda NunesRaquel Pennington
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Amanda Nunes72%
Raquel Pennington 28%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Amanda Nunes a 72% favorite over Raquel Pennington in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Amanda Nunes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1795 to 1675, a 120-point edge.
Amanda Nunes enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Amanda Nunes finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Raquel Pennington 31%.
Amanda Nunes and Raquel Pennington share 4 common opponents: Irene Aldana, Julianna Peña, Germaine de Randamie and Holly Holm.
Amanda Nunes carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.