Amanda Nunes vs Ronda Rousey
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-5-0Record13-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
69"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Lioness StudioTeamTeam Hayastan
What's at stake
Amanda Nunes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Ronda Rousey carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1809
If they lose-18→ 1777
If they win+18→ 1769
If they lose-14→ 1737
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1655 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1649 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Amanda NunesRonda Rousey
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Amanda Nunes63%
Ronda Rousey 37%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Amanda Nunes a 63% favorite over Ronda Rousey in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Amanda Nunes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1795 to 1751, a 44-point edge.
Amanda Nunes enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Amanda Nunes finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Ronda Rousey 100%.
Amanda Nunes and Ronda Rousey share 1 common opponent: Holly Holm.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.