Amanda Nunes vs Sara McMann
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-5-0Record14-7-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'5"
69"Reach66"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Lioness StudioTeamTeam Alpha Male
What's at stake
Amanda Nunes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Sara McMann carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1803
If they lose-24→ 1771
If they win+24→ 1642
If they lose-8→ 1610
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1655 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Amanda NunesSara McMann
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Amanda Nunes83%
Sara McMann 17%Elo baseline: 73%
The Combat Edge model makes Amanda Nunes a 83% favorite over Sara McMann in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).
Amanda Nunes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1795 to 1618, a 177-point edge.
Amanda Nunes enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Amanda Nunes finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Sara McMann 43%.
Amanda Nunes and Sara McMann share 1 common opponent: Julianna Peña.
Amanda Nunes carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.