Amanda Nunes vs Shayna Baszler
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-5-0Record15-11-0
BantamweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'7"
69"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight153 lbs
Lioness StudioTeamUWF USA
What's at stake
Amanda Nunes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Shayna Baszler carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+6→ 1801
If they lose-26→ 1769
If they win+20→ 1554
If they lose-4→ 1530
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1655 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1555 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Amanda NunesShayna Baszler
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Amanda Nunes84%
Shayna Baszler 16%Elo baseline: 82%
The Combat Edge model makes Amanda Nunes a 84% favorite over Shayna Baszler in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (82%).
Amanda Nunes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1795 to 1534, a 261-point edge.
Amanda Nunes enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Shayna Baszler enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Amanda Nunes finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Shayna Baszler 93%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.