Amanda Rafaela vs Jaida Harshman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record1-1-0
StrawweightDivisionFlyweight
5'3"Height5'2"
-Reach-
115 lbsWeight125 lbs
What's at stake
Jaida Harshman is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Amanda Rafaela carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1507
If they lose-23→ 1459
If they win+23→ 1520
If they lose-25→ 1472
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1543 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Amanda RafaelaJaida Harshman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Amanda Rafaela55%
Jaida Harshman 45%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Amanda Rafaela a 55% favorite over Jaida Harshman in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jaida Harshman's way (48%).
Jaida Harshman holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1497 to 1482, a 15-point edge.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.