Combat Edge Intelligence

Amanda Ribas vs Marina Rodriguez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record17-6-2
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'7"
66"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight115 lbs
Marcelo Ribas TeamTeamThai Brasil

What's at stake

Marina Rodriguez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Amanda Ribas carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Amanda RibasNow 1616
If they win+19→ 1635
If they lose-13→ 1603
Marina RodriguezNow 1675
If they win+13→ 1688
If they lose-19→ 1656

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1676 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1681 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.29
Sig. strikes / min
4.64
40%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.24
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.04
60%
Strike defense
56%
2.06
Takedown avg.
0.28
54%
Takedown accuracy
50%
83%
Takedown defense
63%
0.59
Submission avg.
0.21

Trajectory

Amanda RibasMarina Rodriguez
160016501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
7 (41%)
4 (33%)
Submission
1 (6%)
5 (42%)
Decision
9 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Amanda Ribas and Marina Rodriguez within a point of even.

Marina Rodriguez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1675 to 1616, a 59-point edge.

Amanda Ribas enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Marina Rodriguez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Amanda Ribas finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Marina Rodriguez 47%.

Amanda Ribas and Marina Rodriguez share 2 common opponents: Mackenzie Dern and Virna Jandiroba.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

WinDecision (unanimous) · 2021
Virna Jandiroba
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2023
LossSubmission · 2025
Mackenzie Dern
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2021