Combat Edge Intelligence

Amanda Ribas vs Randa Markos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Randa Markos
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Randa Markos

“Quiet Storm”

11-11-1StrawweightUFC

1557Solid

Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record11-11-1
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'5"
66"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight115 lbs
Marcelo Ribas TeamTeamMichigan Top Team

What's at stake

Amanda Ribas is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Randa Markos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Amanda RibasNow 1616
If they win+13→ 1629
If they lose-19→ 1597
Randa MarkosNow 1557
If they win+19→ 1576
If they lose-13→ 1544

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1634 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.26
Sig. strikes / min
2.97
40%
Strike accuracy
44%
3.29
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.10
60%
Strike defense
59%
2.05
Takedown avg.
1.12
5%
Takedown accuracy
29%
82%
Takedown defense
53%
0.56
Submission avg.
0.20

Trajectory

Amanda RibasRanda Markos
155016001650202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
4 (33%)
Submission
4 (36%)
5 (42%)
Decision
7 (64%)

Combat Edge model read

Amanda Ribas70%
Randa Markos 30%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Amanda Ribas a 70% favorite over Randa Markos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Amanda Ribas holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1616 to 1557, a 59-point edge.

Amanda Ribas enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Amanda Ribas finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Randa Markos 36%.

Amanda Ribas and Randa Markos share 3 common opponents: Mackenzie Dern, Luana Pinheiro and Marina Rodriguez.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (3)

WinKO/TKO · 2023
Luana Pinheiro
LossDQ (illegal upkick) · 2021
LossSubmission · 2025
Mackenzie Dern
LossSubmission · 2020
LossTKO · 2021
Marina Rodriguez
DrawDraw (Majority) · 2018