Amanda Ribas vs Tabatha Ricci
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-7-0Record12-4-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'2"
66"Reach 61"
125 lbsWeight115 lbs
Marcelo Ribas TeamTeamBrazilian Thai
What's at stake
Tabatha Ricci is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Amanda Ribas carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1634
If they lose-14→ 1602
If they win+14→ 1671
If they lose-18→ 1639
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1676 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1652 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Amanda RibasTabatha Ricci
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tabatha Ricci63%
Amanda Ribas 37%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Tabatha Ricci a 63% favorite over Amanda Ribas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Tabatha Ricci holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1657 to 1616, a 41-point edge.
Amanda Ribas enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Amanda Ribas finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Tabatha Ricci 42%.
Amanda Ribas and Tabatha Ricci share 1 common opponent: Virna Jandiroba.
Amanda Ribas carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.