Amanda Serrano vs Carol Araujo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
47-2-1Record5-3-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'6"
TBDReach-
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamSuper Herois Artes Marciais
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1578
If they lose-24→ 1530
If they win+24→ 1577
If they lose-24→ 1529
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1492 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Amanda SerranoCarol Araujo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carol Araujo60%
Amanda Serrano 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Carol Araujo a 60% favorite over Amanda Serrano in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Amanda Serrano's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1554 vs 1553), separated by just 1 points.
Amanda Serrano enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Carol Araujo enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Amanda Serrano finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Carol Araujo 40%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.