Amar Nessar vs Bryan Pardoe
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
2-3-0Record13-16-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
TBDHeight6'1"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight203 lbs
TeamTeam Cannon
What's at stake
Amar Nessar is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Bryan Pardoe carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1493
If they lose-26→ 1445
If they win+13→ 1454
If they lose-11→ 1430
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1514 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1495 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Amar NessarBryan Pardoe
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Amar Nessar53%
Bryan Pardoe 47%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Amar Nessar a 53% favorite over Bryan Pardoe in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Amar Nessar holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1471 to 1441, a 30-point edge.
Bryan Pardoe enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Bryan Pardoe 85%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.