Amar Nessar vs Chad Yard
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-3-0Record0-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
TBDHeight6'3"
TBDReach75"
205 lbsWeight223 lbs
TeamFight Factory
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1495
If they lose-24→ 1447
If they win+24→ 1497
If they lose-24→ 1449
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1514 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Amar NessarChad Yard
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chad Yard67%
Amar Nessar 33%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Chad Yard a 67% favorite over Amar Nessar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1471 vs 1473), separated by just 2 points.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.