Amar Nessar vs Jack Morrison
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-3-0Record0-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
TBDHeight5'11"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
TeamBullet NHB Fight Team
What's at stake
Amar Nessar is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Jack Morrison carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1492
If they lose-27→ 1444
If they win+27→ 1457
If they lose-21→ 1409
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1514 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Amar NessarJack Morrison
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Amar Nessar54%
Jack Morrison 46%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Amar Nessar a 54% favorite over Jack Morrison in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Amar Nessar holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1471 to 1430, a 41-point edge.
Jack Morrison enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.