Amar Nessar vs Jeremy Freitag
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
2-3-0Record6-10-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
TBDHeight6'1"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
TeamCapital City Fighting Alliance
What's at stake
Amar Nessar is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Jeremy Freitag carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1494
If they lose-25→ 1446
If they win+17→ 1468
If they lose-15→ 1436
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1514 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Amar NessarJeremy Freitag
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jeremy Freitag54%
Amar Nessar 46%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Jeremy Freitag a 54% favorite over Amar Nessar in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Amar Nessar's way (47%).
Amar Nessar holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1471 to 1451, a 20-point edge.
Jeremy Freitag enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Jeremy Freitag 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.