Amar Nessar vs Joel Sutton
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-3-0Record2-4-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
TBDHeight5'10"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight202 lbs
Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1495
If they lose-24→ 1447
If they win+24→ 1494
If they lose-24→ 1446
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1514 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Amar NessarJoel Sutton
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Amar Nessar and Joel Sutton within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1471 vs 1470), separated by just 1 points.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.