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Combat Edge Intelligence

Amar Nessar vs Ricardo Barros

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

2-3-0Record2-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
TBDHeightTBD
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Amar NessarNow 1471
If they win+23→ 1494
If they lose-25→ 1446
Ricardo BarrosNow 1457
If they win+25→ 1482
If they lose-23→ 1434

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1514 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
0
Not available
Strike accuracy
0%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.22
Not available
Strike defense
31%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
100%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Amar NessarRicardo Barros
1450150020092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (100%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (100%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Ricardo Barros54%
Amar Nessar 46%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Ricardo Barros a 54% favorite over Amar Nessar in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Amar Nessar's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1471 vs 1457), separated by just 14 points.

Ricardo Barros enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.