Combat Edge Intelligence

Amar Suloev vs Marvin Vettori

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Marvin Vettori
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Marvin Vettori

“The Italian Dream”

19-10-1MiddleweightUFC

1688Good

Tale of the tape

24-7-0Record19-10-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'0"
TBDReach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Red Devil Sport ClubTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Amar SuloevNow 1689
If they win+12→ 1701
If they lose-12→ 1677
Marvin VettoriNow 1688
If they win+12→ 1700
If they lose-12→ 1676

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1561 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1753 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.95
Sig. strikes / min
4.74
42%
Strike accuracy
46%
6.90
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.55
71%
Strike defense
56%
0.83
Takedown avg.
1.41
100%
Takedown accuracy
44%
88%
Takedown defense
69%
0.83
Submission avg.
0.39

Trajectory

Amar SuloevMarvin Vettori
1700175020062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

13 (57%)
KO/TKO
2 (11%)
7 (30%)
Submission
9 (47%)
3 (13%)
Decision
8 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Marvin Vettori72%
Amar Suloev 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marvin Vettori a 72% favorite over Amar Suloev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Amar Suloev's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1689 vs 1688), separated by just 1 points.

Marvin Vettori enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Amar Suloev finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Marvin Vettori 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.