Amaury Bitetti vs Don Frye
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-2-0Record20-9-1
MiddleweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'9"Height6'1"
TBDReach73"
185 lbsWeight210 lbs
TeamTeam Frye
What's at stake
Don Frye is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Amaury Bitetti carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+29→ 1569
If they lose-19→ 1521
If they win+10→ 1619
If they lose-14→ 1595
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1568 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Amaury BitettiDon Frye
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Don Frye70%
Amaury Bitetti 30%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Don Frye a 70% favorite over Amaury Bitetti in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Don Frye holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1609 to 1540, a 69-point edge.
Amaury Bitetti enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Don Frye enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Amaury Bitetti finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Don Frye 95%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.