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Combat Edge Intelligence

Amil Tutić vs Hacran Dias

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Hacran Dias
br

Hacran Dias

“Barnabe”

29-13-1WelterweightACA

1562Solid

Tale of the tape

3-1-0Record29-13-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'8"
-Reach69"
170 lbsWeight162 lbs
Trojan PulaTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Amil TutićNow 1563
If they win+24→ 1587
If they lose-24→ 1539
Hacran DiasNow 1562
If they win+12→ 1574
If they lose-12→ 1550

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1520 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1605 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.08
Not available
Strike accuracy
42%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.31
Not available
Strike defense
55%
Not available
Takedown avg.
2.50
Not available
Takedown accuracy
39%
Not available
Takedown defense
77%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.50

Trajectory

Amil TutićHacran Dias
15001550202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (67%)
KO/TKO
3 (10%)
0 (0%)
Submission
11 (38%)
1 (33%)
Decision
15 (52%)

Combat Edge model read

Hacran Dias56%
Amil Tutić 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Hacran Dias a 56% favorite over Amil Tutić in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Amil Tutić's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1563 vs 1562), separated by just 1 points.

Amil Tutić enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Amil Tutić finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Hacran Dias 48%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.