AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Amil Tutić vs Ryan McGillivray

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

3-1-0Record12-6-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
-ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Trojan PulaTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Amil TutićNow 1563
If they win+24→ 1587
If they lose-24→ 1539
Ryan McGillivrayNow 1562
If they win+16→ 1578
If they lose-16→ 1546

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1520 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
1.27
Not available
Strike accuracy
21%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.20
Not available
Strike defense
52%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
44%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Amil TutićRyan McGillivray
1500155020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (67%)
KO/TKO
1 (8%)
0 (0%)
Submission
10 (83%)
1 (33%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Amil Tutić58%
Ryan McGillivray 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Amil Tutić a 58% favorite over Ryan McGillivray in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1563 vs 1562), separated by just 1 points.

Amil Tutić enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Amil Tutić finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Ryan McGillivray 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.