Amilcar Alves vs Charlie Brenneman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-23-0Record19-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight155 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamAMA Fight Club
What's at stake
Charlie Brenneman is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Amilcar Alves carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1392
If they lose-5→ 1368
If they win+5→ 1605
If they lose-19→ 1581
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Amilcar AlvesCharlie Brenneman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Charlie Brenneman68%
Amilcar Alves 32%Elo baseline: 79%
The Combat Edge model makes Charlie Brenneman a 68% favorite over Amilcar Alves in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (79%).
Charlie Brenneman holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1600 to 1373, a 227-point edge.
Amilcar Alves enters on a 8-fight loss streak.
Charlie Brenneman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Amilcar Alves finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Charlie Brenneman 53%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.