Amilcar Alves vs Charon Spain
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
17-23-0Record19-45-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight160 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamGravity Fitness Center
What's at stake
Amilcar Alves is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Charon Spain carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1382
If they lose-13→ 1358
If they win+13→ 1344
If they lose-11→ 1320
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Amilcar AlvesCharon Spain
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Charon Spain53%
Amilcar Alves 47%Elo baseline: 44%
The Combat Edge model makes Charon Spain a 53% favorite over Amilcar Alves in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Amilcar Alves's way (44%).
Amilcar Alves holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1371 to 1331, a 40-point edge.
Amilcar Alves enters on a 8-fight loss streak.
Charon Spain enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Amilcar Alves finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Charon Spain 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.