Amilcar Alves vs Jason Polydor
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-23-0Record2-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight161 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamLe Temple Bordeaux
What's at stake
Jason Polydor is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Amilcar Alves carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1387
If they lose-10→ 1363
If they win+20→ 1445
If they lose-28→ 1397
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Amilcar AlvesJason Polydor
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jason Polydor53%
Amilcar Alves 47%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Jason Polydor a 53% favorite over Amilcar Alves in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Jason Polydor holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1425 to 1373, a 52-point edge.
Amilcar Alves enters on a 8-fight loss streak.
Jason Polydor enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Amilcar Alves finishes 59% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.