Amilcar Alves vs Samuel Bily
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-23-0Record0-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight174 lbs
Nova UniaoTeam
What's at stake
Samuel Bily is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Amilcar Alves carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1388
If they lose-9→ 1364
If they win+19→ 1466
If they lose-29→ 1418
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1486 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Amilcar AlvesSamuel Bily
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Samuel Bily65%
Amilcar Alves 35%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Samuel Bily a 65% favorite over Amilcar Alves in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Samuel Bily holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1447 to 1373, a 74-point edge.
Amilcar Alves enters on a 8-fight loss streak.
Samuel Bily enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Amilcar Alves finishes 59% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.