Amin Ayoub vs Geoff Neal
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-7-1Record16-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
TBDReach75"
159 lbsWeight170 lbs
United Fight TeamTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1707
If they lose-12→ 1683
If they win+16→ 1709
If they lose-16→ 1677
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1535 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1744 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Amin AyoubGeoff Neal
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Geoff Neal63%
Amin Ayoub 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Geoff Neal a 63% favorite over Amin Ayoub in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Amin Ayoub's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1695 vs 1693), separated by just 2 points.
Geoff Neal enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Amin Ayoub finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Geoff Neal 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.