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Combat Edge Intelligence

Amin Ayoub vs Siyar Bahadurzada

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Amin Ayoub
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Amin Ayoub

“Fierceness”

24-7-1WelterweightPFL

1695Good

Tale of the tape

24-7-1Record24-8-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
TBDReach72,5"
159 lbsWeight170 lbs
United Fight TeamTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Amin AyoubNow 1695
If they win+12→ 1707
If they lose-12→ 1683
Siyar BahadurzadaNow 1694
If they win+12→ 1706
If they lose-12→ 1682

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1535 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1664 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.91
Not available
Strike accuracy
41%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.23
Not available
Strike defense
49%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.32
Not available
Takedown accuracy
62%
Not available
Takedown defense
63%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.33

Trajectory

Amin AyoubSiyar Bahadurzada
16501700201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (29%)
KO/TKO
14 (58%)
8 (33%)
Submission
6 (25%)
9 (38%)
Decision
4 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Siyar Bahadurzada51%
Amin Ayoub 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Siyar Bahadurzada a 51% favorite over Amin Ayoub in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Amin Ayoub's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1695 vs 1694), separated by just 1 points.

Siyar Bahadurzada enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Amin Ayoub finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Siyar Bahadurzada 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.