Combat Edge Intelligence

Amir Albazi vs John Moraga

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Amir Albazi
iq

Amir Albazi

“The Prince”

17-3-0FlyweightUFC

1704Good

Tale of the tape

17-3-0Record19-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'6"
68"Reach66,0"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamArizona Combat Sports

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Amir AlbaziNow 1704
If they win+16→ 1720
If they lose-16→ 1688
John MoragaNow 1700
If they win+12→ 1712
If they lose-12→ 1688

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1641 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1681 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.72
Sig. strikes / min
2.57
35%
Strike accuracy
44%
3.71
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.55
62%
Strike defense
56%
1.39
Takedown avg.
0.62
32%
Takedown accuracy
23%
50%
Takedown defense
45%
0.52
Submission avg.
1.07

Trajectory

Amir AlbaziJohn Moraga
1650170017502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (29%)
KO/TKO
3 (16%)
9 (53%)
Submission
8 (42%)
3 (18%)
Decision
8 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Amir Albazi70%
John Moraga 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Amir Albazi a 70% favorite over John Moraga in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1704 vs 1700), separated by just 4 points.

Amir Albazi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Amir Albazi finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, John Moraga 58%.

Amir Albazi carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.