Combat Edge Intelligence

Amir Albazi vs Zhalgas Zhumagulov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Amir Albazi
iq

Amir Albazi

“The Prince”

17-3-0FlyweightUFC

1704Good

Tale of the tape

17-3-0Record19-9-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'4"
68"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Amir Albazi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Zhalgas Zhumagulov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Amir AlbaziNow 1704
If they win+13→ 1717
If they lose-19→ 1685
Zhalgas ZhumagulovNow 1643
If they win+19→ 1662
If they lose-13→ 1630

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1640 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.72
Sig. strikes / min
5.24
35%
Strike accuracy
43%
3.71
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.86
62%
Strike defense
52%
1.39
Takedown avg.
1.30
32%
Takedown accuracy
19%
50%
Takedown defense
75%
0.52
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

Amir AlbaziZhalgas Zhumagulov
15501600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (29%)
KO/TKO
9 (47%)
9 (53%)
Submission
1 (5%)
3 (18%)
Decision
9 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Amir Albazi72%
Zhalgas Zhumagulov 28%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Amir Albazi a 72% favorite over Zhalgas Zhumagulov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Amir Albazi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1704 to 1643, a 61-point edge.

Amir Albazi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Zhalgas Zhumagulov enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Amir Albazi finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Zhalgas Zhumagulov 53%.

Amir Albazi carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.