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Combat Edge Intelligence

Amir Aliakbari vs Dan Severn

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dan Severn
us

Dan Severn

“The Beast”

101-19-7Heavyweight

1715Good

Tale of the tape

16-5-0Record101-19-7
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
76"ReachTBD
250 lbsWeight253 lbs
AKA ThailandTeamThe Beast Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Amir AliakbariNow 1709
If they win+16→ 1725
If they lose-16→ 1693
Dan SevernNow 1715
If they win+12→ 1727
If they lose-12→ 1703

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1615 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1484 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Amir AliakbariDan Severn
1700175020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (73%)
KO/TKO
23 (23%)
0 (0%)
Submission
54 (53%)
4 (27%)
Decision
24 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Amir Aliakbari54%
Dan Severn 46%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Amir Aliakbari a 54% favorite over Dan Severn in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dan Severn's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1709 vs 1715), separated by just 6 points.

Amir Aliakbari finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Dan Severn 76%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.