Combat Edge Intelligence

Amir Aliakbari vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-3-0Record15-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
TBDReach 78"
250 lbsWeight259 lbs
AKA ThailandTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Amir AliakbariNow 1695
If they win+16→ 1711
If they lose-16→ 1679
Jairzinho RozenstruikNow 1703
If they win+16→ 1719
If they lose-16→ 1687

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1726 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.48
TBD
Strike accuracy
49%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.63
TBD
Strike defense
52%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
72%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Amir AliakbariJairzinho Rozenstruik
16501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

10 (77%)
KO/TKO
13 (87%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (23%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Jairzinho Rozenstruik60%
Amir Aliakbari 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Jairzinho Rozenstruik a 60% favorite over Amir Aliakbari in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1695 vs 1703), separated by just 8 points.

Amir Aliakbari finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Jairzinho Rozenstruik 87%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.