Amir Aliakbari vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-5-0Record15-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
76"Reach 78"
250 lbsWeight259 lbs
AKA ThailandTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1723
If they lose-16→ 1691
If they win+16→ 1720
If they lose-16→ 1688
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1609 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1727 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Amir AliakbariJairzinho Rozenstruik
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Amir Aliakbari70%
Jairzinho Rozenstruik 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Amir Aliakbari a 70% favorite over Jairzinho Rozenstruik in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1707 vs 1704), separated by just 3 points.
Amir Aliakbari finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Jairzinho Rozenstruik 87%.
Jairzinho Rozenstruik carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.