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Combat Edge Intelligence

Amir Aliakbari vs Marcin Tybura

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

16-5-0Record27-12-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
76"Reach78"
250 lbsWeight247 lbs
AKA ThailandTeamAnkos MMA· 1667 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Amir AliakbariNow 1709
If they win+16→ 1725
If they lose-16→ 1693
Marcin TyburaNow 1707
If they win+12→ 1719
If they lose-12→ 1695

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1615 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1710 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.56
Not available
Strike accuracy
48%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.26
Not available
Strike defense
55%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.30
Not available
Takedown accuracy
33%
Not available
Takedown defense
71%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.11

Trajectory

Amir AliakbariMarcin Tybura
1700175020252026

Win method breakdown

11 (73%)
KO/TKO
10 (37%)
0 (0%)
Submission
7 (26%)
4 (27%)
Decision
10 (37%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcin Tybura64%
Amir Aliakbari 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcin Tybura a 64% favorite over Amir Aliakbari in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Amir Aliakbari's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1709 vs 1707), separated by just 2 points.

Marcin Tybura enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Amir Aliakbari finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Marcin Tybura 63%.

Marcin Tybura carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.