Amir Aliakbari vs Ruslan Shamilov
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Amir Aliakbari52%
Ruslan Shamilov 48%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Amir Aliakbari a 52% favorite over Ruslan Shamilov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ruslan Shamilov's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1711 vs 1715), separated by just 4 points.
Ruslan Shamilov enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Amir Aliakbari finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Ruslan Shamilov 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
16-5-0Record18-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
76"Reach-
250 lbsWeight207 lbs
AKA ThailandTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1727
If they lose-16→ 1695
If they win+16→ 1731
If they lose-16→ 1699
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Amir AliakbariRuslan Shamilov