Amir Aliev vs Justin Wetzell
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Justin Wetzell58%
Amir Aliev 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Justin Wetzell a 58% favorite over Amir Aliev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1649 vs 1650), separated by just 1 points.
Amir Aliev enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Justin Wetzell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Amir Aliev finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Justin Wetzell 42%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
12-2-0Record12-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'9"
TBDReach70"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fight Club Berkut· 1633 avg Elo · 12 ratedTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1665
If they lose-16→ 1633
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1488 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Amir AlievJustin Wetzell