Combat Edge Intelligence

Amir Sadollah vs Dan Hardy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Dan Hardy

Dan Hardy

“The Outlaw”

25-10-0WelterweightUFC

1684Good

Tale of the tape

6-5-0Record25-10-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
TBDReach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamTeam Rough House

What's at stake

Dan Hardy is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Amir Sadollah carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Amir SadollahNow 1514
If they win+23→ 1537
If they lose-9→ 1505
Dan HardyNow 1684
If they win+7→ 1691
If they lose-17→ 1667

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1603 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1661 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.71
Sig. strikes / min
2.46
46%
Strike accuracy
35%
3.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.44
61%
Strike defense
51%
0.57
Takedown avg.
0.73
28%
Takedown accuracy
35%
61%
Takedown defense
35%
0.34
Submission avg.
0.36

Trajectory

Amir SadollahDan Hardy
1500155016001650170020102011201220132014

Win method breakdown

1 (17%)
KO/TKO
14 (56%)
1 (17%)
Submission
2 (8%)
4 (67%)
Decision
9 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Dan Hardy78%
Amir Sadollah 22%Elo baseline: 73%

The Combat Edge model makes Dan Hardy a 78% favorite over Amir Sadollah in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).

Dan Hardy holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1684 to 1514, a 170-point edge.

Amir Sadollah enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dan Hardy enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Amir Sadollah finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Dan Hardy 64%.

Amir Sadollah and Dan Hardy share 1 common opponent: Duane Ludwig.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision - Unanimous · 2011
Duane Ludwig
WinKO/TKO · 2012