Combat Edge Intelligence

Amir Sadollah vs Peter Sobotta

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-5-0Record17-7-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamPlanet Eater

What's at stake

Peter Sobotta is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Amir Sadollah carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Amir SadollahNow 1514
If they win+22→ 1536
If they lose-10→ 1504
Peter SobottaNow 1652
If they win+7→ 1659
If they lose-17→ 1635

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1603 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.71
Sig. strikes / min
2.14
46%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.90
61%
Strike defense
59%
0.57
Takedown avg.
1.53
28%
Takedown accuracy
32%
61%
Takedown defense
78%
0.34
Submission avg.
0.51

Trajectory

Amir SadollahPeter Sobotta
150015501600165020132014201520162017201820192020

Win method breakdown

1 (17%)
KO/TKO
5 (29%)
1 (17%)
Submission
10 (59%)
4 (67%)
Decision
2 (12%)

Combat Edge model read

Peter Sobotta72%
Amir Sadollah 28%Elo baseline: 69%

The Combat Edge model makes Peter Sobotta a 72% favorite over Amir Sadollah in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).

Peter Sobotta holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1652 to 1514, a 138-point edge.

Amir Sadollah enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Peter Sobotta enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Amir Sadollah finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Peter Sobotta 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.