Combat Edge Intelligence

Amir Sadollah vs Phil Baroni

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Phil Baroni
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Phil Baroni

“New York Bad Ass”

16-19-0WelterweightRFC

1547Average

Tale of the tape

6-5-0Record16-19-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy

What's at stake

Phil Baroni is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Amir Sadollah carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Amir SadollahNow 1514
If they win+18→ 1532
If they lose-14→ 1500
Phil BaroniNow 1547
If they win+11→ 1558
If they lose-13→ 1534

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1603 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.71
Sig. strikes / min
2.77
46%
Strike accuracy
45%
3.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.93
61%
Strike defense
41%
0.57
Takedown avg.
1.46
28%
Takedown accuracy
47%
61%
Takedown defense
60%
0.34
Submission avg.
0.49

Trajectory

Amir SadollahPhil Baroni
150015502013201420152016201720182019

Win method breakdown

1 (17%)
KO/TKO
11 (69%)
1 (17%)
Submission
2 (13%)
4 (67%)
Decision
3 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

Amir Sadollah60%
Phil Baroni 40%Elo baseline: 45%

The Combat Edge model makes Amir Sadollah a 60% favorite over Phil Baroni in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Phil Baroni's way (45%).

Phil Baroni holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1547 to 1514, a 33-point edge.

Amir Sadollah enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Amir Sadollah finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Phil Baroni 81%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.