Amiran Gogoladze vs Jessin Ayari
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-3-0Record19-6-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach73,5"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
Amiran Gogoladze is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Jessin Ayari carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1705
If they lose-18→ 1673
If they win+18→ 1670
If they lose-14→ 1638
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1572 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1590 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Amiran GogoladzeJessin Ayari
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Amiran Gogoladze74%
Jessin Ayari 26%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Amiran Gogoladze a 74% favorite over Jessin Ayari in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Amiran Gogoladze holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1691 to 1652, a 39-point edge.
Amiran Gogoladze enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Jessin Ayari enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Amiran Gogoladze finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Jessin Ayari 74%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.