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Combat Edge Intelligence

Amirkhan Adaev vs Paul Sass

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Paul Sass
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Paul Sass

“Sassangle”

14-2-0LightweightBFC

1682Good

Tale of the tape

23-7-0Record14-2-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'1"
-ReachTBD
157 lbsWeight155 lbs
Berkut FC· 1626 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamTeam Kaobon

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Amirkhan AdaevNow 1683
If they win+12→ 1695
If they lose-12→ 1671
Paul SassNow 1682
If they win+16→ 1698
If they lose-16→ 1666

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1574 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
0.53
Not available
Strike accuracy
26%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.90
Not available
Strike defense
52%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.53
Not available
Takedown accuracy
17%
Not available
Takedown defense
33%
Not available
Submission avg.
7.38

Trajectory

Amirkhan AdaevPaul Sass
1700201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (32%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
4 (18%)
Submission
13 (93%)
11 (50%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Amirkhan Adaev60%
Paul Sass 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Amirkhan Adaev a 60% favorite over Paul Sass in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1683 vs 1682), separated by just 1 points.

Amirkhan Adaev finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Paul Sass 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.