Amru Magomedov vs Angel Alvarez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
11-0-0Record11-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'7"
71"Reach69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Abdulmanap Nurmagomedov School· 1729 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Amru Magomedov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Angel Alvarez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1754
If they lose-22→ 1722
If they win+22→ 1628
If they lose-10→ 1596
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1554 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Amru MagomedovAngel Alvarez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Amru Magomedov81%
Angel Alvarez 19%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Amru Magomedov a 81% favorite over Angel Alvarez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Amru Magomedov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1744 to 1606, a 138-point edge.
Amru Magomedov enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Amru Magomedov finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Angel Alvarez 36%.
Amru Magomedov carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.