Amru Magomedov vs Angel Alvarez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters → 
Tale of the tape
10-0-0 Record 11-2-0
Lightweight Division Lightweight
5'11" Height 5'7"
71" Reach 69"
155 lbs Weight 155 lbs
Abdulmanap Nurmagomedov School Team Kill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Amru Magomedov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Angel Alvarez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1734
If they lose-21→ 1702
If they win+21→ 1631
If they lose-11→ 1599
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Amru Magomedov Angel Alvarez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Amru Magomedov76%
Angel Alvarez24%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Amru Magomedov a 76% favorite over Angel Alvarez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Amru Magomedov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1723 to 1610, a 113-point edge.
Amru Magomedov enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Angel Alvarez enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Amru Magomedov finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Angel Alvarez 36%.
Amru Magomedov carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.