Amru Magomedov vs Angel Alvarez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-0-0Record11-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'7"
71"Reach69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Abdulmanap Nurmagomedov School· 1731 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Amru Magomedov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Angel Alvarez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1745
If they lose-22→ 1713
If they win+22→ 1620
If they lose-10→ 1588
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Amru MagomedovAngel Alvarez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Amru Magomedov88%
Angel Alvarez 12%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Amru Magomedov a 88% favorite over Angel Alvarez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Amru Magomedov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1735 to 1598, a 137-point edge.
Amru Magomedov enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Amru Magomedov finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Angel Alvarez 36%.
Amru Magomedov carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.