Amru Magomedov vs Mateusz Rębecki
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-0-0Record21-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'7"
71"Reach66"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Abdulmanap Nurmagomedov School· 1731 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1751
If they lose-16→ 1719
If they win+12→ 1748
If they lose-12→ 1724
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1690 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Amru MagomedovMateusz Rębecki
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Amru Magomedov58%
Mateusz Rębecki 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Amru Magomedov a 58% favorite over Mateusz Rębecki in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mateusz Rębecki's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1735 vs 1736), separated by just 1 points.
Amru Magomedov enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Amru Magomedov finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Mateusz Rębecki 81%.
Amru Magomedov carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.