Combat Edge Intelligence

Amru Magomedov vs Sidney Outlaw

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-0-0Record23-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'8"
71"Reach76"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Abdulmanap Nurmagomedov School· 1731 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamDante Rivera BJJ· 1664 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Amru MagomedovNow 1735
If they win+16→ 1751
If they lose-16→ 1719
Sidney OutlawNow 1735
If they win+12→ 1747
If they lose-12→ 1723

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1646 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.13
TBD
Strike accuracy
33%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.80
TBD
Strike defense
71%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
3

Trajectory

Amru MagomedovSidney Outlaw
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
1 (4%)
5 (45%)
Submission
11 (48%)
2 (18%)
Decision
11 (48%)

Combat Edge model read

Amru Magomedov54%
Sidney Outlaw 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Amru Magomedov a 54% favorite over Sidney Outlaw in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1735 vs 1735), separated by just 0 points.

Amru Magomedov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Sidney Outlaw enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Amru Magomedov finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Sidney Outlaw 52%.

Sidney Outlaw carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.