Combat Edge Intelligence

Amru Magomedov vs Tofiq Musayev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-0-0Record24-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
71"Reach69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Abdulmanap Nurmagomedov School· 1732 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamOrion Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Amru MagomedovNow 1735
If they win+16→ 1751
If they lose-16→ 1719
Tofiq MusayevNow 1734
If they win+12→ 1746
If they lose-12→ 1722

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.84
TBD
Strike accuracy
46%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.74
TBD
Strike defense
51%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.30
TBD
Takedown accuracy
60%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Amru MagomedovTofiq Musayev
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
19 (79%)
5 (45%)
Submission
2 (8%)
2 (18%)
Decision
3 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Amru Magomedov61%
Tofiq Musayev 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Amru Magomedov a 61% favorite over Tofiq Musayev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1735 vs 1734), separated by just 1 points.

Amru Magomedov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Tofiq Musayev enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Amru Magomedov finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Tofiq Musayev 88%.

Amru Magomedov carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.