Amru Magomedov vs Tom Nolan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-0-0 Record 11-1-0
Lightweight Division Lightweight
5'11" Height 6'2"
71" Reach 73"
155 lbs Weight 155 lbs
Abdulmanap Nurmagomedov School Team Team Compton Training Centre
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1739
If they lose-16→ 1707
If they win+16→ 1742
If they lose-16→ 1710
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Amru Magomedov Tom Nolan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tom Nolan52%
Amru Magomedov48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tom Nolan a 52% favorite over Amru Magomedov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1723 vs 1726), separated by just 3 points.
Amru Magomedov enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Tom Nolan enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Amru Magomedov finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Tom Nolan 55%.
Tom Nolan carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.