Ananias Mulumba vs Austin Arnett
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-4-0Record18-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height6'0"
70.5"Reach41,0"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Elite Training Center· 1639 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamSikjitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609
If they win+12→ 1638
If they lose-12→ 1614
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ananias MulumbaAustin Arnett
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ananias Mulumba63%
Austin Arnett 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ananias Mulumba a 63% favorite over Austin Arnett in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Austin Arnett's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1625 vs 1626), separated by just 1 points.
Austin Arnett enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Ananias Mulumba finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Austin Arnett 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.