Combat Edge Intelligence

Ananias Mulumba vs Morgan Charrière

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-3-0Record21-12-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'8"
70.5"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Elite Training CenterTeamTeam Chapa Quente

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ananias MulumbaNow 1644
If they win+16→ 1660
If they lose-16→ 1628
Morgan CharrièreNow 1643
If they win+12→ 1655
If they lose-12→ 1631

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.08
TBD
Strike accuracy
50%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.54
TBD
Strike defense
54%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.11
TBD
Takedown accuracy
47%
TBD
Takedown defense
83%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.30

Trajectory

Ananias MulumbaMorgan Charrière
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
13 (62%)
5 (50%)
Submission
3 (14%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Ananias Mulumba54%
Morgan Charrière 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ananias Mulumba a 54% favorite over Morgan Charrière in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1644 vs 1643), separated by just 1 points.

Ananias Mulumba finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Morgan Charrière 76%.

Ananias Mulumba carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.