Combat Edge Intelligence

Ananias Mulumba vs Yoshinori Horie

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-4-0Record13-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
70.5"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight156 lbs
Elite Training Center· 1639 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamAlliance-Square

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ananias MulumbaNow 1625
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609
Yoshinori HorieNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1569 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.76
TBD
Strike accuracy
49%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.65
TBD
Strike defense
48%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ananias MulumbaYoshinori Horie
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
6 (46%)
5 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
7 (54%)

Combat Edge model read

Ananias Mulumba63%
Yoshinori Horie 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ananias Mulumba a 63% favorite over Yoshinori Horie in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Yoshinori Horie's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1625 vs 1627), separated by just 2 points.

Ananias Mulumba finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Yoshinori Horie 46%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.