Anas Nfaou vs Charlie Ontiveros
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-2-0Record11-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'2"Height6'2"
-Reach74"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Submission Factory MMATeamW4R Training Center
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1544
If they lose-24→ 1496
If they win+16→ 1537
If they lose-16→ 1505
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1501 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anas NfaouCharlie Ontiveros
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Anas Nfaou76%
Charlie Ontiveros 24%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Anas Nfaou a 76% favorite over Charlie Ontiveros in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Charlie Ontiveros's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1520 vs 1521), separated by just 1 points.
Charlie Ontiveros enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Anas Nfaou finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Charlie Ontiveros 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.