Anas Nfaou vs Garrett Gross
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-2-0Record12-11-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'2"Height5'11"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Submission Factory MMATeamSabens Martial Arts
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1544
If they lose-24→ 1496
If they win+16→ 1534
If they lose-16→ 1502
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1501 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anas NfaouGarrett Gross
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Anas Nfaou60%
Garrett Gross 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Anas Nfaou a 60% favorite over Garrett Gross in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1520 vs 1518), separated by just 2 points.
Anas Nfaou finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Garrett Gross 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.