Anastasia Nikolakakos vs Victória Souza
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-0-0Record10-3-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'0"Height5'0"
60"Reach60"
114 lbsWeight113 lbs
Gracie Humaita-BoltonTeamAtaque Duplo
What's at stake
Anastasia Nikolakakos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Victória Souza carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1685
If they lose-27→ 1637
If they win+18→ 1631
If they lose-14→ 1599
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1537 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anastasia NikolakakosVictória Souza
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Anastasia Nikolakakos76%
Victória Souza 24%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Anastasia Nikolakakos a 76% favorite over Victória Souza in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Anastasia Nikolakakos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1664 to 1613, a 51-point edge.
Anastasia Nikolakakos enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Anastasia Nikolakakos finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Victória Souza 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.