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Combat Edge Intelligence

Anatolij Baal vs Walter Cogliandro

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Anatolij Baal
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Anatolij Baal

“Siberian Tiger”

10-5-1LightweightOKMMA

1548Average

Tale of the tape

10-5-1Record17-9-1
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'9"
-Reach72"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Fight Club Gelsenkirchen· 1574 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Anatolij BaalNow 1548
If they win+16→ 1564
If they lose-16→ 1532
Walter CogliandroNow 1549
If they win+12→ 1561
If they lose-12→ 1537

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Anatolij BaalWalter Cogliandro
150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (60%)
KO/TKO
6 (35%)
2 (20%)
Submission
4 (24%)
2 (20%)
Decision
7 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Walter Cogliandro54%
Anatolij Baal 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Walter Cogliandro a 54% favorite over Anatolij Baal in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1548 vs 1549), separated by just 1 points.

Anatolij Baal enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Walter Cogliandro enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Anatolij Baal finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Walter Cogliandro 59%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.