Anatoly Malykhin vs Antônio Rodrigo Nogueira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-1-0Record34-10-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'3"
78"Reach77"
224 lbsWeight240 lbs
Raty Team· 1670 avg Elo · 14 ratedTeamTeam Nogueira· 1598 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1793
If they lose-16→ 1761
If they win+12→ 1791
If they lose-12→ 1767
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1614 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1688 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Anatoly MalykhinAntônio Rodrigo Nogueira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Anatoly Malykhin55%
Antônio Rodrigo Nogueira 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Anatoly Malykhin a 55% favorite over Antônio Rodrigo Nogueira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Antônio Rodrigo Nogueira's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1777 vs 1779), separated by just 2 points.
Antônio Rodrigo Nogueira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Anatoly Malykhin finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Antônio Rodrigo Nogueira 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.